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Crazy Arbitrage in Real Life (you can do it too!)
As I sit in my living room, surrounded by four full-size violins, I can’t help but reflect on the journey that has led me here. I used to be a completely average person – I had a few hobbies, but nothing really special. That all changed when I started working at a trading firm. I started to...
Tesla - Buy or Sell
Biden as a president could fuel ecological driving, spending large amounts of money to make it more competitive. Tesla, a leading producer, will most likely take advantage and become much more famous. But Tesla is also known for speculative business planning and treating workers not fair, which...
Anyone thinking of jumping ship to ride the tech wave?
So with market demand being so low and the tech "bubble" building a stronger and stronger presence, have you thought about jumping ship to work for any of the tech companies temporarily? People with a big name on the resume and some technical skills and great wits may be able to land a role in the...
EV Boom
Any thoughts on why electric car makers are obsessed with the names of scientists when it comes to christening their brands.... say, like Tesla and Nikola
who will win after the world coronavirus epidemy
There are a lot of posts that some representatives of the market have benefits from todays situation with coronavirus epidemic. Here is one of them https://www.cityfalcon.com/news/stories/75a1e738-…. What is your opinion? Shares of electric-car company Tesla were slammed on Monday but what will be...
Why won’t this work?
This could be used for many companies, but let’s say Tesla. Say you rent a place and put a camera next to the Tesla factory/factories. As each truck delivering Teslas comes out, you count the number of trucks by later watching the camera recordings. If the number of trucks times the amount of...
Thoughts On Tesla
What's this forum's view on Tesla trading around $270ish....... Do you guys think it's a buy? Long term or short term?
Banks and Investors pour 1$ Billion into Uber's Self Driving Cars. Worth it or Not?
Starting from Tesla's self-driving technology and Uber's effort to create a non-human driven "taxi", the Softbank and associated investors thought it would be a wise investment decision to insert 1$ Billion into Uber, which is prepping for an IPO . [quote] Under the terms of the proposed deal,...
The Fundamentals of Elon Musk
No matter the new level of unpredictability that Elon Musk's Twitter account reaches, it seems that the value creation and product adoration leaves Tesla's client base impression of the company unperturbed. How does a company reach that level of trust that is so stable when there are so many...
GE and TSLA Punishing Short Sellers
Not every day do you get to see two of Wall Street's most shorted stocks both jump 14% on the same day. Sure, you could argue that the economic situations of both General Electric and Tesla haven't changed one bit and that this is all just a short-term bounce or maybe even overreactions....
Interview question: How to value Tesla?
In an interview yesterday, I was asked how I would go about valuing Tesla... What would be the most appropriate way to answer this question? And what are some of the most important things you would need to consider. Would you use a DCF with a long projection period so that you capture the years in...
Lmao Tesla
So Elon Musk tweeted a series of erratic comments stating that he is considering taking Tesla private at $420 per share, which represents a 23% premium on Monday's closing price of ~$340. As a result the stock shot up, reports were the tweets might be fake, volatility is ridiculous, and now trading...
Elon Musk. Love or Hate?
As the title says, you either love this guy or hate him. To me, he’s gotta be the funniest/cheekiest CEO of our time. The amount of cheeky, snide comments he makes is just hilarious and he ends up roasting interviewers through his sheer intellect. Some people think this is D-bag behaviour, but I...
Long TSLA Update: Smartest Guys in the Room
"You could then go twice long the market, be short my portfolio, and have 2X the market plus a few percent, minus your cost of the additional carry. And that's the proposition, and that's why short selling alpha is so prized in the marketplace when you can find it, because it enables you to be more...
Tesla stock on fire
I know Tesla’s stock has been on fire, but with one of their actual cars bursting into flames, does anyone else see tremendous downside in this stock? I mean, Elon’s a genius and all, one of the best out-of-the-box thinkers of our generation and gets tons of chicks, but the guy doesn’t seem to...
Tesla
Alright folks...you've heard the news. Elon has created another stir with a post claiming he is considering taking TESLA private (as possibly $420/sh). At that price - someone could buy BMW and FORD yet they are choosing to buy TESLA which isn't turning a profit. Seems nuts. What do you all think...
An enigma called Elon Musk
Has anyone noticed that most of Elon Musk's airs and manners are atypical of CEOs. To snub Wall Street analysts at the earnings call, engage in a spat with an ex-employee for 'sabotage' and now to close several of Tesla's home solar installations - one of his dream projects - Musk must either be a...
Too Good for Wall Street: Elon Musk cuts off Analysts for asking "boring" questions
“This is a financial analyst call—this is not a TED talk” - Toni Sacconaghi, analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co Tired of hearing analysts asking "boring" questions, Elon Musk , rather uncharacteristically, criticized and even cut off guests during Tesla's Q4 earnings call: [quote] On the...
Enough about Bitcoin and Trump. Lets go back to Tesla…
We’ve been missing Elon Musk in the news recently. When Elon isn't sharing his fear of AI taking over the human race, he's losing hair again, worrying about the Model 3's upcoming production deadlines: [quote] Mr. Musk has good reason to worry about Tesla. The auto maker is entering one of the...
Tesla: a big bubble or only a bet?
"There is much to admire in the Tesla story but there is one aspect of the story that I find puzzling, and if I were an equity investor, troubling. It is the way in which Tesla has chosen to, and continues to, finance itself. Over the last decade, as Tesla has grown, it has needed substantial...
Elon Musk Taking Ideas From Twitter
Last week a Tesla customer tweeted "@elonmusk can you guys program the car once in park to move back the seat and raise the steering wheel? Steering wheel is wearing" and within 30 minutes Musk replies with "Good point. We will add that to all cars in one of the upcoming software releases". This...
Progress for the sake of progress
This is a great article on the outlook Silicon Valley companies often have. It seems like they are making progress for the sake of progress sometime. I like how well they point how how these companies have left their core constituency behind (Apple's headphone jack fiasco... etc.) [quote]The tech...
The Unintended Consequences of Self Driving Cars
I'm sure most of you caught the news a few days ago that every Tesla coming off the assembly line now has full self-driving hardware . That was the headline. Almost as interesting was this gem buried in the fine print: you're not allowed to use your Tesla for Uber, Lyft, or any other for-profit ride...
Ford and Tesla Prospects - Buy or Sell?
With Ford's stock price having toppled to $11 from $17 under Mark Fields leadership, Jim Hackett who stepped in as CEO last week has inherited a long route of recovery in catching up with new technologies and realigning the company's strategies. Financially, Ford's sales growth came at a measly 1.3%...
Tesla Solar Roof could cost less than a regular roof
Elon Musk has once again made another big announcement upon the acquisition of a company. He stated that he believed that the Tesla Solar Roof will cost less than a regular roof. Musk told the crowd that he had just returned from a meeting with his new solar engineering team. Tesla’s new solar...
Tesla Battery Boom
Tesla recently cut the ribbon on a massive new battery plant in Southern California. The plant, which took $5B to construct, represents the continued fulfillment of Elon Musk's mission to vertically integrate. As Tesla produces better batteries for a cheaper cost because of the scale, Tesla hopes to...
Tesla's six day policy turnaround - Idiots Charged for Hogging Superchargers
Bloomberg News: Loic Le Meur ✔ @loic @elonmusk the San Mateo supercharger is always full with idiots who leave their tesla for hours even if already charged. 9:00 PM - 10 Dec 2016 · San Mateo, CA Bloomberg News: Elon Musk ✔ @elonmusk @loic You're right, this is becoming an issue. Supercharger...
Dealership Racket
Happy new year Monkeys, perhaps not for Tesla. It looks like the dealership association has won at least part of the battle. Being from Silicon Valley this hits close to home. Tesla has been rejected to receive a license renewal for selling new vehicles in Missouri, the United States. In St-Louis...
The $400 Million Mistake at Lazard: Solarcity "Undervalued" in Tesla Purchase
This was a juicy little story that came out today...apparently someone double-counted some projected indebtedness for SolarCity which dropped the projected valuation range by $400m. That comes out to right around 15% of the $2.6Bn deal...which made me pause for a minute and think... While Lazard is...
Tesla Model X
It's basically a minivan that goes from zero to sixty in 3.2 seconds. Who is ordering one? http://nypost.com/2015/09/30/tesla-unveils-model-x-suv-and-its-awesome/
TSLA as big as AAPL?
Just wondering what you monkeys think about Elon Musk's nutty call that by 2025 Tesla will have a $700 billion market cap comparable to Apple's current situation. I think that Musk is a genius, but he should probably tone down statements such as this on earnings calls, or talking to investors...
Elon Musk Companies, are they are just scams?
I have been interested in some of the ideas that Elon Musk has, so I have l been looking into his companies. I have come to the conclusion that many of them are nothing more than scams. SpaceX isn't a real independent company considering it survives almost exclusively on government contracts. Not...
IRON MAN
Mod Note: This post is from Jared's Daily Dirtnap daily market newsletter. WSO readers qualify for a $100 discount... just email [email protected] & mention "WSO Monkey Discount". You can follow Jared on twitter: @dailydirtnap Sometimes when you have your head down sending emails or bidding and...
TSLA Drops 12% in After Market Hrs after Q3 Earnings Released
So @"Edmundo Braverman" finally woke up and sold his stake before this sell-off (slow clap), and I barely held onto my puts but will likely sell them tomorrow... I thought the call was interesting. Musk and the CFO insisted that they are still supply contrained, but the real question is by how much?...
Valuation of the week 1: A Tesla Test
I taught the first session of my valuation class, that I previewed in my last post , today. As part of that class, I do what I call a “valuation of the week”, where I pick a company and value it and then post both my valuation (with the spreadsheet and the raw data that I used) and a shared...
TSLA Breaks $100, (doubles in a month)
How you shorters feeling now? 40% of float short is now at 29%. Who hung on? once that number gets to about 10%, if its still north of 90, sell. 14bn market cap for that company, lmfao.
A Perfect Storm
For better or for worse, there’s a very unique feeling when everything goes completely according to plan yet nobody seems to care or notice. Such is the case with our favorite company of the moment, Tesla Motors. For those unaware, TSLA has rocketed upwards since its Q1 earnings release, mostly...
10 Facts/Headscratchers from the Ongoing TSLA Saga
So plenty has happened since my last post on Tesla, and to the untrained eye it seems like only good news coming from the Tesla hype-mobile. Well, despite my own thoughts on these things, this post is going to contain no more color than I’ve already given in the past two sentences (and the title,...
TSLA: Taxpayers Stuck with Lifeless Assets
Mod Note: this was originally posted on 3/7/12 Everybody loves a gimmick, whether it’s the novelty of the high-flying social media companies run by twenty-somethings with nothing to lose but their oversize sweatshirts or the possibility of harnessing cold water fusion to create unlimited supplies...
Generous Number Crunching on TSLA Q1 Profitability
Racking my brain to somehow arrive at profitability for Tesla in the first quarter of 2013 has me coming up empty. Some numbers for you, accompanied by my explanations of where they came from. [Update: Something interesting a bit of field research has come up with is that a decent amount of Model S...
3D modeling with hand-gestures: Real-life Iron Man
I know we've all slobbed on this guy's knob lately, but Jesus, the dude does not stop. Elon Musk's team has apparently come up with a way to design rocket parts using only hand-gestures "through the air" and immediately print them to titanium. I know the concept of gesture controls isn't all that...
Elon Musk tals about Tesla's Dealers Challenge
Tesla on the verge of being banned in NC
http://autos.yahoo.com/blogs/motoramic/auto-dealers-push-law-blocking-t… Republicans in NC are pushing a bill that would ban Tesla in NC. Thoughts? Is this good for free-markets when governments can just just ban companies without any good reason.
TSLA posts first profitable quarter.
Tesla released a press release that says it exceeded its sales targets for Q1 and that it is amending its guidance to full profitability for Q1. 4750 sales vs 4500 expected. http://www.teslamotors.com/about/press/releases/tesla-model-s-sales-exc… I know that there was a thread going around about...
TSLA: Taxpayers Stuck with Lifeless Assets
From my blog, http://huntingforcommoncents.wordpress.com, with thanks to BlackHat for the collaboration and review ---------------- Everybody loves a gimmick, whether it’s the novelty of the high-flying social media companies run by twenty-somethings with nothing to lose but their oversize...
Tesla Reasearch
Anyone have any worthwhile research? Investigating for a potential client, if you want I can send you anything from BAML and have some others saved. Let me know if you want it.
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