How best to present these trade/investment ideas in interviews?
Ok, I am pretty much clueless what ideas to present in SA S&T interviews, but I want to at least prepare some sort of decent answer.
My thesis for 2012 is:
Sluggish growth in USA, about 2%
Continued weakness in the Eurozone
China's hard landing
Therefore my trade ideas are:
Long dollar short euro + commodity currencies
Short commodities heavy dependent on China
Short commodities related stocks - indices of countries heavily dependent on Oil (Russia)
Other random idea: long healthcare sector in US
Exits:
Trades moving against me at some level
Some sort of Euro solution
Improvement in China
Some sort of oil supply crisis (probably Iran related) - quit things related to oil
How best should I present these ideas? What should I mention for quick 5 minute pitch? Also, ideas for hedging?
Inputs much appreciated!
Maybe stick with companies that have capabilities to drill domestically? Long healthcare in the US is ok, JNJ, say, but I think you'd wanna long generics companies like Teva. Of course, I'm long both JNJ and TEVA. And RIG, which I think has solid long long term prospects...
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